What really happens
when you ask AI a question?

China's AI ecosystem  ·  the economics of Tokens

Opening · What is an AI made of?

An AI is a "five-layer cake"

⑤ Apps · Agents Yuanbao · Doubao · ChatGPT ④ Model — the "brain" DeepSeek · Hunyuan · GPT ③ Data center wires & cools thousands of chips ② Chips — GPUs 💰 do the real math · most profitable ① Energy — electricity ⚡ China's power ≈ 1/3 of US cost you talk here travels down to chips answer bubbles up ↑
Token
AI's meter reading
Model
guesses next word
Agent
works on its own
Training
building the brain
Inference
answering you
Chapter 1 · Essence — What is a Token?
AI electricity meter

The "meter" of the AI world

A meter ticks one notch at a time. AI makes each word fresh — never copied. That one notch is a Token.

🎲 "Artificial intelligence changes the world" = how many Tokens?
ANo fixed answer
BOne per letter
COne per word
DAlways 16
No fixed answer! Different AIs cut it into 3, 7, or a dozen pieces — and charge by the piece.
A Token is made fresh, one notch at a time — with no standard ruler.
Chapter 1 · Did you know?

Same sentence, different "meters"

"Artificial intelligence changes the world" → token count by AI DeepSeek 3 tokens GPT-4 ~7 tokens old GPT-2 a dozen+ ↑ more pieces = bigger bill, for the very same words 100s of billions of math ops to make just ONE token 25–40% AI app profit margin (software was 80%+) computed, not copied A first in history 1st unit to measure human-like thinking
Not a product, not a file, not electricity — a brand-new category.
Chapter 2 · Value — Not all Tokens are equal
two fates of a bucket of water

Two fates of one bucket of water

Splashed on the road, or saving a tree in the desert — same water, value worlds apart. Same for Tokens.

🎲 Same Tokens: review a huge contract vs chit-chat — value gap?
AAbout 2×
BAbout 10×
CAbout 100×
D1000× or more
1000× or more! Price records what it cost to make — never what it earned you.
A Token's value comes from what you do with it, not what it is.
Chapter 2 · Did you know?

Same Tokens in — wildly different value out

Equal Tokens spent · value created Harvey · legal AI $ millions / yr Character.AI · chat ads & subs High value needs all 3 dials lined up: task value how much is at stake × prompt precision how well it's asked × model match right brain for the job $172B / year, US hidden value never in prices or GDP "Average price" stops explaining
Cost is linear (by Token); value is non-linear (by outcome).
Chapter 3 · Cost — What does one Token cost?
AI is a restaurant

Not a photo album — a restaurant

Every word means real fire, ingredients, a chef's time — a power plant, chips, cooling. Heavy industry, not a few lines of code.

🎲 Building a $2B AI factory to make Tokens.
What's the most expensive thing?
ABuilding & land
BElectricity
CChips
DSoftware
Chips! HBM (high-bandwidth memory) alone = 40–55% of the cost.
Only 3 companies in the world make them — shortage may last till 2027.
Chips are the engine of every Token.

Bonus: software iterates by the day, but the physical world is slow — transformers take 2.5 years, grid queues 5–12 years. The book calls this "two clocks".
AI looks like software, but it's heavy industry.
Chapter 3 · Did you know?

Cheaper per word — yet the bills explode

3 years price per token ↓ ~200× total spend ↑ the "scissors" US firms' AI spend, in just one year 70%+ of cost = energy + chips + data centers Fast clock software · days 🐢 Slow clock chips · grids · years
The faster software runs, the more the slow physical world becomes the limit.
Chapter 4 · Demand — Why Tokens are never enough
from directions to driving itself

From "giving directions" to "driving itself"

Give it a destination and it drives there itself — detours, U-turns, replanning. That's an Agent. The fuel gauge drops fast.

🎲 Ask AI to "throw a birthday party" — how many steps?
AJust 1
B3–5
CDozens, on its own
DIt can't
Dozens — by itself! A simple Q&A = a few hundred Tokens; an Agent task = tens of thousands.
AI learned to drive itself — from "answering" to "getting things done".
Chapter 4 · Did you know?

When AI drives itself, usage explodes

China's daily Token use — 1000× in two years 2024 100B 2025 100T 2026 140T Tokens per task ~500 · one question tens of thousands · one Agent task Three layers of demand: 🙋 humans ask — limited by attention 🏢 companies batch — limited by budget 🤖 agents run alone — limited by task value 🦞 The "pet shrimp" craze one agent burned 19 trillion tokens — topped React on GitHub
It's not that people ask more — machines now work non-stop.
Chapter 5 · Competition — efficiency reshapes the industry
best mileage

Not the biggest tank — the best mileage

The race is shifting from "whose model is smartest" to "who makes the same result with fewer Tokens".

🎲 In the cake, which layer makes the most money?
AApps (closest)
BThe model
CThe chips
DThe power plant
The chipmaker! NVIDIA keeps ~$75 of every $100 — more than all model companies combined.
The winner isn't the biggest tank — it's the best mileage.
Chapter 5 · Did you know?

The race: raw power vs efficiency

🇺🇸 Raw power 5–17× chip lead in raw power + still ~8 months ahead on the hardest tasks strategy: "bigger tank" 🇨🇳 Efficiency 1/20 the cost to train (DeepSeek V3) cheap power + open models set a price ceiling (~90% off) strategy: "more miles / gallon" vs
Likely outcome: two tracks coexist — top power AND low cost & speed.
Chapter 6 · Business — from selling Tokens to selling intelligence
nobody asks for three kilowatt-hours

Nobody yells "give me 3 kWh!"

We buy electricity for cool summers, bright nights — not the kWh. Companies want the job done, not "a million Tokens".

🎲 You're the AI boss — the most advanced way to charge?
APer use
BMonthly pass
CHire a "digital employee"
DFree
From "how much you used" to "did it get the job done" — selling cool air, not electricity.
Smart businesses sell the "cool air", not the "electricity".
Chapter 6 · Did you know?

Six ways to sell intelligence

sell a RESOURCE sell an OUTCOME per-use subscription credits per-workflow per-outcome digital employee → the further right, the bigger the promise — and the higher the price A smart "intelligence budget" stands on 3 pillars: task tiering match job to model cost price signals see what each task costs model routing pick the right brain
Manage it well, or the AI bill becomes a cost black hole.
Chapter 7 · Rules — what new rules does the Token economy need?
cars just hit the road

Cars just hit the road — no traffic lights yet

Lights, licenses, insurance all came later. Tokens are at that stage — customs can't tell if it's a good or a service.

🎲 A US kid uses a Chinese AI for an essay — how to tax it?
AAs goods
BAs software
CAs a phone call
DNobody knows
Nobody has figured it out! Part good, part software, part service — old rules can't hold it.
AI is a new species — old rules can't hold it. You'll write the new ones.
Chapter 7 · Did you know?

Four things packed into one cross-border call

ONE AI call dataprivacy? computinga service? energya good? intelligencetaxed how? no old category fits → must be counted · classified · priced · governed 🏁 Standards = power whoever's rules spread, leads the new order
First it crosses borders — then it must enter statistics, tax, and law.
Wrap-up

The future belongs to those who use AI well 🌱

It sees differently
but you can learn to talk to it
Asking > answering
good questions come from you
Humans set direction
what we build is up to you

"The end of the token economy is still — people."

🙋 What's the one thing you'd most want AI to do for you?